daisy 1 beaten by emerald b+++
daisy 1 beaten by emerald b+++
1) Acrobat(1) def by Night Elf(8) m+++
Battles:1 Hibiscus:78 Glass:72
Good luck everyone!
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3 lvl15 Diamond Dragons
20+ Ultra Rare Dragons
216+ unique Super Rare Dragons
3 lvl15 Champions
1 lvl11 Champion
37 total Champions
11 Treasure Dragons
Valiant Dragon
Lvl10 Infinity, Crusader, Quetzal, Gold, Anubis, Black Diamond, Dark Angel, Prime Eternal, 2 Angels & 2 Astromancers
Beat Acrobat with lvl 10 Equinox
rd1 Secret-10 ko Acrobat-1 bB
rd2 Lightmare-9 ko Daisy-1 B
If we presume that the lowly Level 1 dragon - in this case a Level 1 Acrobat - has a 10% chance to win against even the strongest dragon, the Level 1 Acrobat dragon has about a 50% / 50% chance of winning at least once in seven battles. Likewise, if a player has seven straight battles with a 90% chance to win, the player has about a 50% / 50% chance of losing at least once over those seven battles.
I do feel the pain of anyone who loses to a Level 1 dragon in the early rounds of a tournament, but a 90% chance to win is not the same as a 100% chance to win.
% Chance to Cumulative % to
Battle # Lose Battle Win at Least Once
1 90% 10.00%
2 90% 19.00%
3 90% 27.10%
4 90% 34.39%
5 90% 40.95%
6 90% 46.86%
7 90% 52.17%
I'm sorry but I can't seem to make the table work right. The column are "Battle #", "% Chance to Loss Battle" and "Cumulative % to Win at Least Once".
Last edited by AJImmer; 06-03-14 at 11:29 AM. Reason: dang table
Ohhhhh round 2 daisy 1 beat black knight 10 grrrr
Black Swan beat Daisy.
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rd2.
Justice beats Daisy in 1 bash.
Thanks Kooky, I think color chart works for this tourney.